Advancing “Defence-in-depth”: intelligence and systems dynamics

This article aims to encourage the fostering of more systems thinking, and its greater exploitation, within the domain of contemporary intelligence. With particular focus on “micro systems thinking” and with reference to key intelligence processes, such as intelligence analysis, the utility of many systems dynamics within the intelligence context seeks to be further revealed. Through their greater collective harnessing, including up to “System of Systems” (“SoS”) dynamics, and promoting all that they can offer, more sophisticated overarching operational-to-strategic/policy “ends,” notably that of “defence-in-depth,” can be viably further advanced in a sustainable manner into the future. Arguably, a much-needed transformative impact on contemporary intelligence can also be increasingly realised through comprehensively engaging in and with more systems and SoS thinking. Aiding civil protection tasks, crisis management, emergency planners, and civil contingency practitioners likewise gain.     

Callable products for an implicit time model with dependent demands

Capacity providers such as airlines and hotels have traditionally increased revenues by practicing market segmentation and revenue management, enabling them to sell the same capacity pool to different consumers at different prices. Callable products can enhance profits and improve consumers' welfare by allowing the firm to broker capacity between consumers with different willingness to pay. A consumer who buys a callable product gives the capacity provider the right to recall capacity at a prespecified recall price. This article studies callable products in the context of the model most commonly used in industry, which handles time implicitly imposing fewer restrictions on the nature of randomness compared to the Poisson arrival process favored in academia. In the implicit time model, capacity providers set booking limits to protect capacity for future high-fare demand. Our numerical study identifies conditions where callable products result in significant gains in profits.     

导弹实弹射击信息管理系统的设计与实现

针对目前实弹射击训练结束后缺乏科学、全面、便捷的数据信息记录手段和成绩评价方法的问题,通过分析导弹实弹射击整体过程及成绩评价需求,建立数据记录评价指标体系,运用Client/Server数据库开发技术和模糊综合评判的方法,设计并实现了“导弹实弹射击信息管理系统”。该信息管理系统经实际使用后,验证了需求分析的合理性以及设计实现的科学性,为客观、全面地记录实弹射击训练情况,评价导弹实弹射击训练提供了一种有效的手段。     

多分辨率建模在联合作战仿真中的应用研究

针对目前联合作战建模与仿真中存在的困难和问题,运用多分辨率建模(MRM)方法对其进行了探索研究。对联合作战的作战要素、仿真映射结构进行了分析,探讨了多分辨率建模的主要方法,提出了联合作战仿真的体系结构,并设计了基于多分辨率建模的联合作战仿真模型框架。     

试论应收账款的管理

本文首先阐述了应收账款过大是阻碍新时期企业发展的一大弊端,其次,从应收账款的事前控制入手,多方面提出了解决这些问题的对策及应用。     

加快兵团小城镇建设的社会管理途径分析

小城镇的社会管理不仅是城镇化发展的有机组成部分,而且对党的十六届六中全会上提出的“构建社会主义和谐社会”具有重要意义。而特殊体制下的兵团社会管理,与全国小城镇社会管理的基本要求既有相同之处,又有其独特之处。加强兵团小城镇建设的社会管理,推进和谐社区建设,不仅有利于兵团经济的发展,更有利于兵团更好地履行屯垦戍边的使命。文章通过对兵团小城镇现有模式的分析,针对当前兵团以人为本的社区建设情况,对兵团小城镇的社会管理的应对措施提出建议。     

关于城市公共危机管理的思考

介绍了危机管理的基本概念和基本思想,阐述了危机管理在城市防灾体系中的重要意义。在理论分析的基础上通过实例,说明在目前公共安全资源普遍短缺的现实背景下,在构建城市防灾体系的过程中,如何将危机管理的理念引入并加以科学应用,对于提高我国城市防灾减灾体系效能有着决定性的作用。     

集贸市场火灾隐患及整改对策

集贸市场作为社会主义市场经济的重要组成部分,其消防安全不容忽视。分析了当前集贸市场普遍存在的火灾隐患,从集贸市场建筑消防设计、集贸市场消防管理两个方面探讨了集贸市场火灾隐患的整改对策。     

边防派出所消防监督管理职能制度化探索

随着社会火灾防控体系基础工程的日益推进和完善,加强边防派出所消防监督管理职能制度化建设已成为边境一线广大农村和边贸城市、口岸火灾防控体系建设的当务之急。从边防派出所消防监督管理职能制度化设想入手,对边防派出所消防监督管理职能制度化建设的难点和对策进行探索性分析。     

论公安现役部队机关管理效能的发挥

当前公安现役部队机关在管理方面还不同程度地存在着不到位及越位问题,分析问题产生的原因,提出充分发挥机关管理效能应采取的对策,对机关服务和保障基层建设具有重要意义。